Trend Exhaustion Fade looks for gold trends that are still moving but no longer being pushed: shrinking legs, weaker follow-through, smaller ranges. It fades that exhaustion with a tight invalidation, and it never fades a trend that is accelerating.
What it does: Measures leg size and follow-through across the recent trend. Enters against the trend only once expansion has clearly faded. Keeps the invalidation tight, because fading is the higher-risk side.
When it works: The end of long gold runs into a major level. Post-event drift, when the driver has been fully priced. Overextended pushes into the New York close.
When it struggles: Trends that keep accelerating — the classic way to be wrong repeatedly. Central-bank flow periods where dips are absorbed. Any market where "exhaustion" is really a pause.
What the trader controls: Risk per trade, as a percentage of the account or a cash amount. Daily loss limit — once hit, no new entries for the rest of the London trading day. Maximum open positions on gold at any one time. Sessions it may trade, and whether high-impact news blocks new entries. You can switch the model off at any time, and reducing or closing risk is never blocked.
The method behind Trend Exhaustion Fade is documented in full under Gold mean reversion at https://goldhunts.com/gold-strategies/gold-mean-reversion. GoldHunts publishes win rate and sample size for closed XAUUSD trades only — never profit or loss figures, and never a projection.
GoldHunts — the AI-powered gold trading operating system.