VOLATILITY COMPRESSION BREAK — PUBLIC LEDGER

Model

GHX-10 · Volatility Compression Break

Version

v2.0

Market

XAUUSD only

Published trades

0

Account type

Demonstration

Record status

Awaiting first trade

Coming to forward testing. It is not yet available for account activation.

It assesses each completed 15-minute candle, with the hourly picture read alongside it, and never decides from a candle that is still forming.

The ledger is evidence of how this approach behaves in forward testing. Its purpose is to connect each outcome to the market idea that existed before the trade, without presenting proprietary settings as a trading instruction.

• It measures short-term quiet in gold from completed 15-minute candles — how far price is ranging, how wide its usual spread of prices has become, and how far it is travelling on average — and compares all three against a long run of recent readings rather than against a feeling.
• When a short run of candles is quiet enough on every measure at once, the high and low of that run are recorded as a zone and then left alone. The zone is never redrawn, widened or improved later.
• A quiet zone is not a direction. It gives no view on which way price will leave, so there is no position before the move, no order sitting on both sides and no anticipated direction.
• Only the first meaningful move out of the recorded zone counts. It must open inside the zone, travel decisively, and close beyond the boundary while holding most of its own move.
• The very next candle has to confirm that move: carry it further, stay clear of the boundary it just left, close with conviction, and not overrun so far that nothing is left. A later candle cannot rescue a failed one.
• The move also has to clear the range the previous hours were already trading in. Leaving a small zone while still inside a bigger one is not an expansion.
• Each quiet zone gives one opportunity only. A failed break, an ambiguous candle that reaches out of both sides, or a zone that simply expands from the inside all finish that opportunity — and price has to become genuinely active again, then form a wholly new quiet run, before anything is considered there again.
• Every trade carries a stop beyond the far side of the recorded zone and a target set from the width of that zone, both fixed before the order is sent. If the confirmation arrives too far from the zone to leave enough reward against that risk, the trade is skipped rather than the stop or target being moved to make it fit.
• Entry is valid only for a short window after that candle closes, at a fresh executable price, and only while the spread and the distance moved since the close are both inside what it accepts.
• One position at a time. No averaging down, no adding to a winner, no part exit, no re-entry on a retest and no reversal on the same zone.
• It closes if price completes a candle back inside the recorded zone, if the move stalls without progress shortly after entry, ahead of a major scheduled announcement, at the next verified trading break, and in any case within a fixed time of the fill. Once it is a full unit of risk ahead on verified prices, protection is tightened behind price and never loosened.
• This version is in demonstration research. Its behaviour has been checked against recorded gold candles and reproducible worked examples; its performance is not established.

How Volatility Compression Break trades gold explains when it works, when it struggles and what a trader controls.

No published trades yet. GHX-10 is not yet available for account activation. This record begins when demonstration forward testing starts, and the first eligible closed trade will appear whether it wins or loses.

Nothing is backfilled with simulated or illustrative trades. The empty record is the complete record today.

WHAT EVERY PUBLISHED TRADE WILL SHOW

• Date and time the trade opened and closed, in UK time.
• Direction, entry price, exit price, and the distance to the stop and the target.
• Result in R — the outcome measured against the risk taken, net of spread, commission and swap, with the gross figure beside it.
• Win or loss, how long it was held, the session it traded, and the model version that took it.
• The plain-English reason the model took the trade, written before the outcome was known.
• Never published: lot size, account balance, ticket numbers, and anything at all about a customer account.

• Published entries are permanent: winners and losers remain visible.
• Each entry will be linked to the previous entry by a check value, making a missing, reordered or altered row detectable.
• A correction is published as an additional entry that names the entry it corrects, and both stay visible.
• Signed summaries will preserve the state of the record on each publication day.
• The same decision is released to the demonstration account and to every trader who has the model switched on, in the same cycle, with no preferential ordering.

• These are results from a demonstration account. Demonstration results do not represent live trading.
• Nothing here is investment advice, a recommendation or a forecast, and no return is promised. Leveraged gold carries a high risk of rapid loss.
• Sample size is always shown beside any win rate. A short run of results proves very little, and the record is published from the first trade rather than once it looks good.
• Results in R are net of spread, commission and swap, with the gross figure alongside. Cash figures are not published.
• Gold Hunts is operated from the United Kingdom, and these pages are published under the laws of England and Wales.
• A model acts only while a trader leaves it switched on, on an account they connected, inside limits they set. Reducing or closing a position is never blocked.