Breakout Expansion trades the move out of a defined range once gold closes beyond the edge with real expansion behind it. It accepts a lower win rate for larger moves, and it declines breaks that lack range expansion.
What it does: Defines the range and its edges before the session it trades. Requires expansion — a decisive close beyond the edge, not a wick. Stops back inside the range, where the breakout would be proven false.
When it works: London open after a tight Asian range. Volatility expansion regimes. After a catalyst gives gold a fresh reason to move.
When it struggles: Chop, where every edge is broken and reclaimed. Pre-data sessions with false starts. Wide ranges, where the stop distance stops making sense.
What the trader controls: Risk per trade, as a percentage of the account or a cash amount. Daily loss limit — once hit, no new entries for the rest of the London trading day. Maximum open positions on gold at any one time. Sessions it may trade, and whether high-impact news blocks new entries. You can switch the model off at any time, and reducing or closing risk is never blocked.
The method behind Breakout Expansion is documented in full under XAU session breakout at https://goldhunts.com/gold-strategies/xau-session-breakout. GoldHunts publishes win rate and sample size for closed XAUUSD trades only — never profit or loss figures, and never a projection.
GHX-02 Breakout Expansion v2.0 is built on the Gold Hunts model contract: one fixed method, one immutable version, and a recorded decision with a plain-English reason every time it looks at gold. Rebuilt and in verification. Not trading, on any account, until its demonstration account is live. When it is switched on it looks once per closed 15-minute candle, and manages an open trade on every closed 5-minute candle.
How it decides: It looks for a horizontal price level that gold has defended on two separate occasions, with a genuine retreat away from the level in between — one touch is not a level. It only considers a trade when a completed 15-minute candle closes through that level with a measurably wider range than the candles before it and a strong close in the direction of the break. It declines the break if price has already run too far beyond the level, if the candle gapped away from it, or if the hourly picture is pushing the other way. A trade carries a stop back on the far side of the level and a target at twice that distance, both fixed before the order is sent. It leaves early if a completed 5-minute candle closes back through the level it broke, and it will not hold a trade past its time limit or the session cutoff. If the conditions are not all present, it records a wait with the one reason that stopped it.
Every closed trade it takes on the Gold Hunts demonstration gold account is published at https://goldhunts.com/gold-models/ghx-02-breakout-expansion/ledger, win or lose, with the reason written before the outcome was known. Customer trades are never published. Results are shown against the risk taken, net of costs, with the gross figure alongside, and sample size is always shown. These are demonstration results and do not represent live trading.
GoldHunts — the AI-powered gold trading operating system.