Failed Breakout Reversal trades the breakout that does not hold. Gold clears a level, fails to build on it and closes back inside; the model enters against the break with the stop beyond the failed extension.
What it does: Identifies the breakout level and the extension beyond it. Requires a close back inside the range to confirm the failure. Trades against the break, targeting the opposite side of the range.
When it works: Range-bound gold weeks with repeated false breaks. Low-participation sessions where breakouts lack follow-through. Around obvious levels the whole market can see.
When it struggles: Expansion regimes where breakouts run for hundreds of dollars. Directional macro moves that break and never look back. Immediately after a rate decision or payrolls print.
What the trader controls: Risk per trade, as a percentage of the account or a cash amount. Daily loss limit — once hit, no new entries for the rest of the London trading day. Maximum open positions on gold at any one time. Sessions it may trade, and whether high-impact news blocks new entries. You can switch the model off at any time, and reducing or closing risk is never blocked.
The method behind Failed Breakout Reversal is documented in full under XAU session breakout at https://goldhunts.com/gold-strategies/xau-session-breakout. GoldHunts publishes win rate and sample size for closed XAUUSD trades only — never profit or loss figures, and never a projection.
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